Anti-bodies Widespread, Open Economy Now

Florida Department of Health is showing 11,351 cases in Dade county (Miami), Florida.  Find this by clicking here and then clicking here for county links. Choose Dade county.

The results for Miami look like this:

The Miami Herald newspaper reports the University of Miami researchers did anti-body testing and found 165,000 people have antibodies. This virus is spreading rapidly, and doing considerably less damage than forecasted a couple months ago. In fact, these results show the Florida Department of Health is under-counting anti-bodies by 14x - 15x.

About 6 percent of Miami-Dade’s population — about 165,000 residents — have antibodies indicating a past infection by the novel coronavirus, dwarfing the state health department’s tally of about 10,600 cases, according to preliminary study results announced by University of Miami researchers Friday.

Read more here: https://www.miamiherald.com/news/coronavirus/article242260406.html#storylink=cpy

As the protestors are saying in their demonstrations, it is time to acknowledge the medical expert's models were wrong and to open the economy now.

Closer to Covid-19 Herd Immunity

In a week of good news including flattening the growth curve of deaths, this report shows a huge number of people in New York have recovered from Covid-19. Most of them apparently didn't even know they had it, and now they have anti-bodies. This is good news because it tells us a significant and growing percentage of the population are developing anti-bodes without suffering ill effects.


New York antibody study estimates 13.9% of residents have had the coronavirus, Gov. Cuomo says

An estimated 13.9% of the New Yorkers have likely had Covid-19, according to preliminary results of coronavirus antibody testing released by Gov. Andrew Cuomo on Thursday.

...

“What we found so far is that the statewide number is 13.9% tested positive for having the antibodies,” he said. “They were infected three weeks ago, four weeks ago, five weeks ago, six weeks ago, but they had the virus, they developed the antibodies and they are now recovered.”...

The antibody testing indicates that the actual death rate is far lower, less than 1%, Cuomo said.

Governor Cuomo said, "... the actual death rate is far lower, less than 1%."


The death rate models from February and March were over-stated. It is time to re-open the economy while those with risky health conditions continue to shelter in place.

Temperate Rain Forest At South Pole

Scientists say the South Pole was a rain forest with high carbon dioxide levels. Since the South Pole is currently covered with snow and ice, maybe the Earth is in a period of cooling and normal would be a South Pole with trees, as it was in the past. Maybe planets go through various cycles of cooling and warming, much like seasonal cycles and daily cycles.


The following was published in the journal Nature about a warm South Pole.

Temperate rainforests near the South Pole during peak Cretaceous warmth

The mid-Cretaceous period was one of the warmest intervals of the past 140 million years^1,2,3,4,5, driven by atmospheric carbon dioxide levels of around 1,000 parts per million by volume. ... Here we use a sedimentary sequence recovered from the West Antarctic shelf—the southernmost Cretaceous record reported so far—and show that a temperate lowland rainforest environment existed at a palaeolatitude of about 82° S during the Turonian–Santonian age (92 to 83 million years ago).

Bringing Covid-19 Immunity To The Herds

Asymptomatic transmission in a broad base of healthy people is a good thing. It brings immunity without the side effects of flu symptoms.


From the New England Journal of Medicine about Covid-19 herd immunity without flu symptoms:

An important finding of this report is that more than half the residents of this skilled nursing facility (27 of 48) who had positive tests were asymptomatic at testing.

People in a nursing facility typically suffer from poor health, co-mobidity, and other health issues. Nevertheless, half of these unhealthy people had Covid-19 without symptoms. This is good news because it shows even unhealthy groups can develop large percentages of persons with antibodies, which brings the vaunted herd immunity.

Virus Cycles, Country Test Cases

Like all natural systems and things, the Covid-19 flu follows a pattern or a cycle. It will spread, grow to a peak, and regress. It may return on regular cycles, similar to the seasonal flu during the winter.

Israeli Professor Shows Virus Follows Fixed Pattern

Professor Yitzhak Ben Israel of Tel Aviv University, who also serves on the research and development advisory board for Teva Pharmaceutical Industries, plotted the rates of new coronavirus infections of the U.S., U.K., Sweden, Italy, Israel, Switzerland, France, Germany, and Spain. The numbers told a shocking story: irrespective of whether the country quarantined like Israel, or went about business as usual like Sweden, coronavirus peaked and subsided in the exact same way. In the exact, same, way. His graphs show that all countries experienced seemingly identical coronavirus infection patterns, with the number of infected peaking in the sixth week and rapidly subsiding by the eighth week.

In other words, Professor Yitzhak Ben Israel has published data which shows the virus cycles in the same way regardless of lock downs and extreme "social distancing".


The top health regulator in Sweden allowed grown-ups to be grown-ups. The regulator recommended the Swedish economy and people's livelihoods be allowed to continue, with people exercising prudent behavior and caution.
Anders Tegnell, an epidemiologist at Sweden’s Public Health Agency, calls out lockdowns as being based on no evidence of effectiveness. He goes on to call out the modeling of others as being incorrect, and shows modeling for Sweden.

‘Closing borders is ridiculous’: the epidemiologist behind Sweden’s controversial coronavirus strategy

... Sweden didn’t go into lockdown or impose strict social-distancing policies. Instead, it rolled out voluntary, ‘trust-based’ measures: it advised older people to avoid social contact and recommended that people work from home, wash their hands regularly and avoid non-essential travel. But borders and schools for under-16s remain open — as do many businesses, including restaurants and bars. ...

... We have looked at a number of European Union countries to see whether they have published any analysis of the effects of these measures before they were started and we saw almost none. ...

... The public-health agency has released detailed modelling on a region-by-region basis that comes to much less pessimistic conclusions than other researchers in terms of hospitalizations and deaths per thousand infections. ...

This will be a fascinating case study of these approaches: hysterical lock downs causing economic destruction versus prudent action by grown-ups and allowing the economy and schools and daily life to continue while the virus cycles.

FBI Can Not Be Trusted

Bloomberg reports that a federal government inspector general has found the F.B.I. can't be trusted with American's private information.




From the article that the FBI can't be trusted:
The FBI Can’t Be Trusted With the Surveillance of Americans

Justice Department Inspector General Michael Horowitz issued a new report that found systematic errors of fact in the FBI’s applications for warrants under the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act. ... Out of 42 applications, the report says, 39 included major defects.

The article goes on to detail how the FBI ignored long-standing rules in order to illegally spy on politicians:

Rules that have been in place for nearly 20 years to verify the accuracy of facts presented in the warrant and include exculpatory information, known as the Woods procedures, were ignored. ... His conclusion is straightforward. “We do not have confidence that the FBI has executed its Woods procedures in compliance with FBI policy,” the report says.

Global Cooling Causes Arctic Trouble

An ozone hole in the atmosphere has opened over the Arctic due to environmental cooling.

Record-size hole opens in ozone layer above the Arctic

A rare hole has opened up in the ozone layer above the Arctic, in what scientists say is the result of unusually low temperatures in the atmosphere above the north pole.